On The Road

Going to be a travel day tomorrow, so it's possible that there won't be any posts until late in the day. On the other hand, it's possible that I'll do something early tomorrow.

9/28/06 11:17PM del.icio.us this incoming links

Comments

Hope you don't mind if I use this as a sort of open thread, since the relevant post has fallen off the page.

I've been considering whether to donate to Webb. I definitely want him to have more money, more so than any other Senate candidate. On the other hand, Million Buck Chuck and the DSCC had about $40 million at last check, versus half that amount for the Republicans. Should I count on Schumer to do the smart thing and drop a big seven figures on Virginia, while I restrict myself to funding underappreciated House races? Or should I give to Webb myself?

Posted by: Neil the Ethical Werewolf on September 29, 2006 12:31 AM

I'd say go for it. Webb's still behind in the polls despite Allen's gaffes, and it couldn't hurt to help him out even if the DSCC does chip in as well.

Posted by: teofilo on September 29, 2006 01:38 AM

"Should I count on Schumer to do the smart thing and drop a big seven figures on Virginia, while I restrict myself to funding underappreciated House races? Or should I give to Webb myself?"

I know it's more than a bit blogospherically unfashionable, but I advise folks to donate directly to the DCCC or DSCC.

I have no reason to think I can target more efficiently than Rahm and Chuck can.

It may seem like less fun than getting that feeling of being directly involved with a specific campaign, but if you're looking to get the most bang for your buck, defer to those with superior battlefield information.

Posted by: Petey on September 29, 2006 03:40 AM

I have no reason to think I can target more efficiently than Rahm and Chuck can.

In general, that's the case. Given a randomly selected race, the DCCC will know much more than me. But I feel that I've been following things closely enough that I can occasionally find something that's been overlooked. And I'll be able to keep some criteria in mind that your ballerina friend might not -- for instance, the extra value of winning the Wyoming House seat, since a longstanding Congressman in a 1-seat state is naturally positioned to move up to the Senate in the future.

There's also the fact that as a C-list Democratic blogger, I'm well positioned to get people excited about particular races and convince them to put their money where mine went. This cycle I've spent $100 of my own money and directed $600 of other people's. You can see my amusingly named page here. I don't think I could drum up donations to the DCCC nearly so effectively, because it doesn't excite people as much.

I feel sort of encouraged by the fact that the one Senate race I gave to in 2004 was Kentucky, which the Democrat ended up losing 51-49 despite being outspent 2-1. Sure, he lost, but in the end that was exactly where our money should've gone.

Posted by: Neil the Ethical Werewolf on September 29, 2006 04:33 AM

"I don't think I could drum up donations to the DCCC nearly so effectively, because it doesn't excite people as much."

Yup. That's definitely the argument for focusing on individual races.

But on the other hand, I'm always in favor of overestimating the intelligence of politically active folks and telling them the unvarnished truth. It may be pollyanna-ish, but it has educational value.

And from that point of view, I advise folks to contribute to the central committees.

"I feel sort of encouraged by the fact that the one Senate race I gave to in 2004 was Kentucky"

I'm still annoyed we couldn't take that race home. It was such a winnable race.

Mongiardo's loss is an object lesson in the importance of the name at the top of the ballot. If someone with more widespread regional appeal had been the Democratic nominee for President in '04, we'd have the Kentucky seat, and probably the Florida seat too.

If Kerry were running for President on the 2006 ballot, Harold Ford and Claire McCaskill would have zero chance of winning this year. Staying competitive in downballot races is reason #17 for nominating John Edwards in '08.

"...your ballerina friend..."

The ballerina is a friend to all of us.

Posted by: Petey on September 29, 2006 07:36 AM

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