Unsolicited Career Advice
The Los Angeles Times runs down the options to replace John Abizaid as head of US Central Command, the outfit overseeing the wars in both Afghanistan and Iraq. The article outlines two competing schools of thought. One would be a strategy of continuity in which George Casey, currently commanding American forces in Iraq, is promoted to Tampa. Another would be a reform strategy involving either David Petraeus (commanded the 101 Airborne in Iraq, is now running the military schools, was the lead author of the new Counterinsurgency Field Manual) or Peter Chiarelli who was Casey's deputy until last week.
I guess my take on this is that if Petraeus knows what's good for him, he'll do everything possible to stay away from either Casey's job or Abizaid's. At this point in time, he's essentially the only person whose reputation has been enhanced by working for the American government in Iraq. If he stays away from Iraq policy, his reputation will only be further enhanced as he'll likely become the central figure in the inevitable revisionist account of the war whereby it could have been awesome had it only been done right.
If he goes to CENTCOM or back to Baghdad, however, he'll join Zalmay Khalilzad in the ranks of people whose formerly glowing reputations have been tarnished by association with inevitable failure and the need to engage in spin on behalf of the Bush administration. The last thing you want to do is become a spin artist on behalf of a lame duck administration fighting a failed war. That means staying as far away as possible from the chain running from the White House to the Pentagon to Tampa to Baghdad. Under the circumstances, the US Army Combined Arms Center is an excellent place to be.
Comments
Colonel H.R. McMaster has also kept his good reputation. Let's hope that he will write a book that does for the Iraq war what his book Dereliction of Duty did for the Vietnam war.
I read a rather glowing report on Petraeus in Esquire a few months ago. If there's anyone better suited to prepare the military for the future of warfare, I don't know who that would be. He should stay right where he is; it's a far more crucial placement.
Couldn't agree more.
Of course the difference is between worrying what your reputation will be, and service to your country. Even if he's not in his best interests, he might still do it.
"He should stay right where he is; it's a far more crucial placement."
Only if you're sure that the next war is much more important than
the current wars.
It doesn't matter if the current war is more or less important. That war is already lost.
I'm curious why all the liberal hawks -- especially the journalists -- have fallen in love with Petreaus. Yeah, yeah, he's a soldier-scholar, but the entire Iraqi defense budget was stolen under his watch:
Lt. Gen. David H. Petraeus, who oversees the U.S. military's training of Iraqi troops, conducts weekly briefings with the defense minister. Other Iraqi defense officials seldom are spotted without American civilian advisers nearby. The close relationship has raised questions as to how $500 million or more could vanish without U.S. intervention to stop the suspicious contracts that flowed for at least eight months.
If Petraeus decides to take Matt's advice and join the incompetence revisionism, remember this story.
(Note: The Independent reported later that 1 to 2 billion dollars was stolen.)
Carl, Iraq is supposed to have a soveriegn government, right? Petraeus meeting with the defense minster regularly doesn't make him responsible for Iraq's contract adminstration. Do we blame the Russian attache for US corruption? After all, the Russian meets with high-ranking members of our government regularly . . .
Somehow, your take on Gen. Petraeus reminds me of Sen. Brownback's take on Judge Neff. Meet somebody, and you become completely responsible for their actions . . .
Regardless of past history, fiscal mismanagement or what, Petraeus as a warfighter has always struck me as a hell of a bright and creative guy, well suited for a complex and confusing counterinsurgency.
That said, as any German general would have told you in 1944: what price the command of battalions when the armies are being commanded from Berlin? The theatre commander is going to be responsible for executing the Supreme War Leader's new Operation Zitadelle (a.k.a the "Surge").
When this punch dissipates into the empty space created by the muj disappearing until the heat blows over he will also take the fall. If I was Petraeus, I'd see this and politely decline...
I wish the LA Times would run down the potential replacements for Jonah Goldberg, beginning with a chicken that can peck at a typewriter or an inanimate carbon rod.
Petraeus missed by a large margin all of the stated goals for the number of Iraqis trained. Appears to me more of a theorist than an operations man.
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